UFC Fight Night: Kape vs Almabayev Expert Predictions

Get insights into the Kape vs Almabayev bout! 🥊 Check out detailed analysis, fighter strengths, and potential winning strategies.

Spencer Toth

Updated on February 24, 2025

UFC Fight Night Kape vs Almabayev Expert Predictions

The UFC Fight Night card for Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev featured a last-minute change after Brandon Royval was forced out of the fight due to injury. This new matchup could be an even better opportunity to check free UFC odds, as these two flyweights appear destined for respective title shots. While this card may be overshadowed by Alex Pereira’s presence next weekend, there are still several high-level fights up and down this card. Manel Kape has won five of his last six fights and has been an underdog on the UFC odds in two matchups. Meanwhile, Asu Almabayev is a perfect 4-0 in the UFC, bringing a 17-fight win streak with him into the octagon. One of these contenders will fall in this fascinating UFC fight night matchup. 

UFC odds
UFC odds

Manel Kape vs Asu Almabayev Fight Card

While the main event between Manel Kape and Asu Almabayev is worthy of your UFC predictions, several other high-profile fights are on this card. Cody Brundage and Julian Marquez face off in the co-main event in a matchup that is sure to bring explosive action. Brundage will try to defuse the ‘Cuban Missile Crisis’ Julian Marquez after a pair of heavyweights clash earlier on the main card. The UFC odds for this Fight Night are also quite close for what promises to be an action-packed card on Saturday night. 

Weight ClassFighterFighter
FlyweightManel KapeAsu Almabayev
MiddleweightCody BrundageJulian Marquez
LightweightNasrat HaqparastEsteban Ribovics
HeavyweightAusten LaneMario Pinto
FeatherweightHyder AmilWilliam Gomis

UFC Odds: Kape vs Almabayev

FavoriteUnderdog
Manel Kape (-275)Asu Almabayev (+185)
Julian Marquez (-175)Cody Brundage (+120)
Esteban Ribovics (-275)Nasrat Haqparast (+185)
Mario Pinto (-375)Austen Lane (+210)
William Gomis (-240)Hyder Amil (+150)

Who Is the Favorite to Win?

The favorite to win the main event this weekend in the UFC is Manel Kape. The UFC odds are heavily in Kape’s favor, despite Almabayev being riding a 17-fight win streak. Kape has been in the UFC longer and has faced stiff competition at flyweight, but many feel these UFC odds are still far too wide, given the threat of the takedown from Almabayev. Targeting the underdog could be an excellent strategy for your UFC predictions given the discrepancy in the odds at Sportzino. 

UFC odds
UFC odds

Manel Kape: Recent Performances and Form 

Manel Kape is 5-3 in the UFC, but the level of competition he has faced is like no other flyweight. He was greeted by Alexandre Pantoja in his UFC debut, who went on to become a very successful UFC champion. A tough split decision loss against Matheus Nicolau followed that defeat, but he then rattled off five wins in his next six fights. Another loss to Muhammad Mokaev can certainly be forgiven, and this will be a real test for Kape against Almabayev. If Kape wins, he sets himself up for a lengthy stay in the UFC rankings and a possible title shot in the future. However, a defeat to Almabayev would see Kape plummet down the rankings and make the climb for a title shot much harder in the future.

Manel Kape loves to finish fights, with 17 of his 20 wins coming inside 15 minutes. He can knock people out with his surprising power but can also sink in chokes on the mat. He is well-rounded, in better shape, and will look to push the pace against Almabayev in the early stages of their upcoming fight.

Asu Almabayev: Recent Performances and Form 

Asu Almabayev brings a 17-fight win streak into this matchup. He is an underdog on the UFC odds due to the fact he took his fight at short notice after Brandon Royval went down with an injury, but there is still no denying his potency in the octagon. Four of those 17 wins on his current streak came in the UFC, with Almabayev most recently taking down Matheus Nicolau in a one-sided decision victory.

Almabayev is not the most exciting flyweight fighter in the UFC, but it is hard to deny his effectiveness in the octagon. He does his best work in tight, as he is capable of landing submissions or stunning his opponent on the feet with short hooks. His wins are split between 9 submissions, 9 decisions, and 3 knockouts, meaning this could be a fight that goes the distance in the main event. Almabayev will need to dictate the pace in the early stages of the fight, as a frantic pace in the opening rounds could see Almabayev fade down the stretch due to the short-notice nature of this fight.

UFC odds
UFC odds

Where to Make Free Predictions: Kape vs Almabayev Fight?

The best place to make your free UFC predictions for the Kape vs Almabayev fight is Sportzino. Sportzino offers the best lines and odds for every UFC fight this weekend, and every weekend for the rest of 2025. Not only does Sportzino have the standard UFC moneyline odds, but they also have a wide variety of props to choose from for the main card of Kape vs Almabayev.

About Author

Spencer Toth

Full Name: Spencer Toth.

Position: Sports Writer, NBA, NFL, UFC.

Social media: Twitter, and LinkedIn.

Bio

I started my own sports picks business in 2020 and haven't looked back. I love everything related to sports and am a diehard Toronto sports fan. My passion for creating content that brings casual and hardcore sports fans together is unmatched.

Experience

  • Business Owner — June 2020 — Present.
  • Sports Writer — February 2021 — Present.
  • Social Media Creator — October 2021 — Present.

Education

Graduated Concordia University with a Bachelor's in Urban Planning and Economics in 2022.

What helps Spencer Toth be up to date?

I am constantly up to date with all the latest sports news by using TheScore, TSN, and X. Staying up to date is crucial in this industry, and is possible regardless of what platform you use. X (formerly Twitter) is the best source for the latest sports news, as I receive updates just seconds after they get released to the public. When your world is sports, it's hard to miss the latest updates from all the top leagues around the world.

FAQ

  1. Do you have a favorite type of casino game or sports event you enjoy writing about?

    My all-time favorite sports event is the UFC. There is something special about two people walking in and only one walking out. Fighting is the oldest sport in human history, and you never know what will happen when the cage door closes.

  2. What advice would you give to someone new to sports predicting?

    Monitor your performance and accept poor days. If you are carelessly making predictions, there's no learning derived from the results. Staying ahead is challenging, and it’s impossible to succeed every single day.

  3. How do you stay up-to-date with the latest trends and developments in sports?

    It's not hard to stay up-to-date with trends when your life is sports! All day and all night sports are on my mind, but if I do miss something, X is always the most up-to-date source online.

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