It is always special when the Toronto Maple Leafs come to town, and the sunny city of Los Angeles gets a visit from one of the league’s most popular franchises for this Saturday night game. The Leafs scored two goals in the final minute to tie their game against the San Jose Sharks on Thursday night but ultimately fell in a shootout. Auston Matthews and the Maple Leafs will be desperate to get back on track against another California team, but the Los Angeles Kings will have other plans.
The Kings have been bounced in the first round by the Edmonton Oilers in three straight seasons and haven’t won a playoff series since they won the Stanley Cup in 2014. This is the most complete Kings team of the past decade, and they appear poised to finally make another deep playoff run.
Matchup: Leafs vs Kings Overview
- Teams: Toronto Maple Leafs at Los Angeles Kings
- Date: Saturday, March 29th, 2025
- Time: Puck drop is at 7:00 PM EST (4:00 PM local time)
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles, California
Win Probabilities:
The NHL win probabilities have been calculated for this matchup, and this game is a toss-up. Toronto will be hungry for a victory after their disappointing showing on Thursday and has a 49.79% chance to win. Meanwhile, the Los Angeles Kings have been able to string together wins in March and hold a 50.21% chance to improve on their 9-4-1 record this month, according to the NHL win probabilities.
Projected Final Score:
The projected final score for the upcoming game between the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Los Angeles Kings suggests a very close contest. Both of these teams will be desperate for a win, and the predictions favor the Los Angeles Kings in a tight goaltending battle. The projected final score: Los Angeles Kings 2-1 Toronto Maple Leafs.
Leafs vs Kings Odds
The Toronto Maple Leafs are coming into this game as unexpected underdogs on the NHL betting lines. It is rare to find the Leafs as underdogs against a team below them in the standings, but that is exactly the case in Los Angeles on Saturday night.
Los Angeles has won eight of their last ten games and has been one of the most surprising teams this season. The total goals line is set at 5.5, with even odds on both the over and under. Anthony Stolarz and Darcy Kuemper have both had career years in the crease and will be confident in leading their respective teams to a crucial two points.
| Toronto Maple Leafs | Los Angeles Kings | |
| Moneyline | +105 | -145 |
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-250) | -1.5 (+171) |
| Total | Over 5.5 Goals (-120) | Under 5.5 Goals (-120) |
Expert Prediction: Who Wins?
Why the Toronto Maple Leafs Could Win
Toronto will not be happy with how they lost to the San Jose Sharks on Thursday night and will be fully focused for this matchup. The Leafs have plenty to play for as they jockey for playoff seeding, and a defeat against the lowly Sharks will sting. However, all hope is not lost, as the Leafs still have a chance to save their road trip if they pick up a win in Los Angeles.
The Maple Leafs have no shortage of talent on their roster, and they finally have the grit they have been missing during previous attempts at playoff glory. Matthew Knies has been instrumental in their ascent up the standings, while John Tavares has put together his best season in years. On the wing, Mitch Marner gave Canada a Four Nations victory against Sweden and has been unstoppable since the All-Star break.
Joseph Woll has created question marks in goal, but the emergence of Anthony Stolarz, the expected starter in this NHL game, has mitigated those concerns. The Toronto Maple Leafs are focused, capable of chasing Kuemper early, and have already beaten the Kings 6–2 earlier this season.
Why the Los Angeles Kings Could Win
The Los Angeles Kings have emerged from their rebuild with an excellent core of young talent. They are still looking to expel their playoff demons after losing to the Oilers in three consecutive seasons, and a win over the Toronto Maple Leafs is the perfect next step toward achieving that.
The Los Angeles Kings’ top scorer is Adrian Kempe with 58 points, far less than the leading scorer on most teams. What makes the Kings an elite NHL team is not their quality on the offensive end but rather their ability to suffocate their opponent on the defensive end of the ice. The Kings’ 182 goals allowed are the second fewest in the league, and they allow just 25.38 shots per game.
Los Angeles has the tools it needs to shut down the Leafs’ top scorers, and the team will be confident that its third- and fourth-line depth will tilt the ice in its favor. It is rare to see the Leafs as an underdog, but this designation is absolutely warranted given how the Kings have looked this month.
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