The Edmonton Oilers have set themselves up to take a lead in Game 5 after their thrilling comeback on Thursday night in Florida. Can they build on their momentum at home, or will the Oilers fall short for your Oilers vs Panthers Game 5 prediction?
Down 2-1 in the series and 3-0 in Game 4, hope was fading away for the Edmonton Oilers. It looked like it may be the second straight season where they fall to the Florida Panthers in the Stanley Cup Final, but that was not the case. Stuart Skinner was pulled in favor of Calvin Pickard, and the goaltending change was the spark the Oilers needed. Pickard slammed the door for 40 minutes to allow the Oilers to storm back to take a 4-3 lead. Sam Reinhart tied it up for Florida with less than a minute to go, but Leon Draisaitl scored his record-breaking fourth overtime goal in the playoffs to level the series.
All the momentum has swung in favor of the Edmonton Oilers, but the job is far from finished for McDavid and company. Can the Oilers win to take a lead down to Florida, or will the Panthers’ depth be too much to overcome in a pivotal Game 5? Here are your expert Florida Panthers vs Edmonton Oilers predictions for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Finals.
Matchup: Oilers vs Panthers Overview
- Teams: Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers
- Date: Saturday, June 14th, 2025
- Time: Puck drop is at 8:00 PM EST
- Venue: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada
Don’t miss our full Oilers vs Panthers Prediction for insights on who has the edge in this matchup
Win Probabilities:
The NHL win probabilities have shifted in favor of the Edmonton Oilers, as this series shifts back to Canada. Edmonton has gone 7-2 at home in the playoffs this year and has been assigned a 56.88% chance of winning according to the NHL win probabilities. Alternatively, the Florida Panthers know how to win on the road and have a 43.12% chance of defying the NHL odds with an unlikely victory.
Projected Final Score:
The projected final score for Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Finals is Edmonton Oilers 5-3 Florida Panthers.
Oilers vs Panthers Odds
The Edmonton Oilers have returned to the favorite role in Game 5 on the NHL odds. While the home ice advantage certainly plays a significant role in Game 5, this is the closest the NHL odds have been so far in the Stanley Cup Finals. Making a Panthers vs Oilers prediction on either side has significant upside, but the real story here is on the NHL odds for the total goals. Despite all four games of this series flying over the 6.5-goal total, the NHL odds have remained firm for Game 5. This is the best Oilers vs Panthers prediction you can make, and has proven to be one of the most consistent NHL predictions in the history of the Stanley Cup Finals.
| Edmonton Oilers | Florida Panthers | |
| Moneyline | -130 | -105 |
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+171) | +1.5 (-250) |
| Total | Over 6.5 Goals (-106) | Under 6.5 Goals (-134) |
Expert Prediction: Who Wins?
Why the Edmonton Oilers Could Win
The Oilers have shown far more grit in their current postseason run compared to last year, and this is now their series to lose. Home ice advantage will play a huge role for Edmonton, and it is impossible to overlook the heroics of Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid. The duo is long overdue to hoist Lord Stanley’s Cup over their heads, and a Game 5 victory would put them a single game away from achieving their ultimate dream. Clavin Pickard is expected to suit up for Edmonton in goal, and the Oilers’ offense will be able to overcome any of their defensive liabilities. Despite being favorites on the NHL odds, the Oilers remain an excellent NHL prediction for Game 5.
Why the Florida Panthers Could Win
The Florida Panthers have a wealth of Stanley Cup experience, and if anyone can come back from their crushing Game 4 loss, it is the Florida Panthers. The series is still tied heading back to Edmonton, and the Panthers understand they are just one win away from snatching the momentum back in their favor. Brad Marchand, Matthew Tkachuk, and Sam Reinhart are capable of scoring offensively, and the rest of the Panthers’ lineup can play shutdown defense on the other end of the ice. Florida was expected to have an edge in goal with Sergei Bobrovsky, but the future Hall of Famer has fallen short in this series. It feels like he is overdue to steal a game for the Panthers, and Game 5 is a prime candidate for him to do so.
Panthers vs Oilers Game 5 Prediction
The best Oilers vs Panthers prediction for Game 5 is on Over 6.5 goals to be scored. Sergei Bobrovsky has been vulnerable in the crease, and the goaltending carousel for Edmonton hasn’t been any better. All four previous games have exceeded this total, and Game 5 will likely be no exception. For the second NHL prediction, take the Oilers moneyline at -130 NHL odds. Edmonton will have their tails up at home for this game, and a quick start will allow them to grind out a crucial victory.
Prediction: Over 6.5 Goals (-106), and Edmonton Oilers Moneyline (-130)
Don’t miss our full Oilers vs Panthers Game 4 Prediction for insights on who has the edge in this matchup
How to Make Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers Game 5 Picks
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