The Chicago Bears and Green Bay Packers face off in one of the oldest rivalries in NFL history.
Chicago has had its best season in nearly a decade, with an 11-6 record, and will be hoping to collect its first playoff win since 2010 with a win over the Packers. Ben Johnson has unlocked Caleb Williams’ potential, and the Bears have been one of the best NFL predictions so far this season.
On the other hand, the Packers started the year 9-3-1 but have limped into the playoffs after four straight defeats. None of that matters heading into Wild Card Weekend, and there has never been a more exciting time to make your NFL predictions.
Will the Bears secure a historic victory, or will the Packers continue to add to their long list of playoff accolades? Let’s jump into the expert NFL picks and predictions to find out.
Matchup: Bears vs Packers Overview
- Teams: Green Bay Packers at Chicago Bears
- Date: Saturday, January 10th, 2026
- Time: Kick-off is at 8:00 PM EST
- Venue: Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois
Win Probabilities:
NFL win probabilities can be calculated using insights from recent matchups, expert NFL predictions, and the most up-to-date NFL odds and lines. In this matchup, the Chicago Bears are seen as underdogs, with a 49.73% chance of winning.
Alternatively, the Green Bay Packers have a narrow lead on the win probabilities, coming into Saturday night with a 50.27% chance of prevailing.
Projected Final Score:
The projected final score for the Bears vs Packers matchup is incredibly tight. Both of these teams fought hard to reach this round, but only one can move on to the Divisional Round next weekend.
Even though the Bears are at home, the projected final score is Green Bay Packers 21-20 Chicago Bears.
Bears vs Packers Odds
| Chicago Bears | Green Bay Packers | |
| Moneyline | -110 | -125 |
| Spread | +1.5 | -1.5 |
The NFL odds have the Chicago Bears as a slight home underdog against the Green Bay Packers. These two NFC North rivals already met twice this season, splitting the season series 1-1, making it no surprise to see very close NFL odds for this matchup.
The moneyline odds are -125 for the Packers, while you can get slightly better, -110 odds, on the -1.5 point spread
For the total points, the 46.5 total feels quite high for two very strong defenses. The Bears have been able to consistently stop the run this year, and there are real concerns at quarterback for the Packers.
On the other side of the ball, Chicago was held to only three points until the final minutes the last time these two teams met, needing a late miracle to escape with a win and cover.
| Over 46.5 Points | Under 46.5 Points |
| -120 | -120 |
Expert Prediction: Who Wins?
Why the Chicago Bears Can Win
The Chicago Bears have home-field advantage, they have gone 11-3 in their last 14 games, and have all the momentum heading into the postseason.
Caleb Williams and his offensive coordinator, Ben Johnson, have developed an incredible relationship in Johnson’s first year in the Windy City. Williams is making the right choices; he has been responsible with the football, and picking apart a banged-up Packers defense is well within his capabilities.
On the other side of the ball, the Bears have generated 22 turnovers this season, more than double the total for 27 of the 31 other teams. While that good fortune is not guaranteed to carry over to the postseason, there is no denying the importance of getting after the football for this defense.
While the Bears themselves can beat anyone in the league, their biggest advantage in this one is health.
Green Bay has been without Jordan Love and Malik Willis at quarterback for the last few weeks. While Love is expected back, he could be rusty and is certainly not 100% healthy heading into this matchup.
A once-dominant Green Bay defense is also without Micah Parsons for the rest of the season, leaving them far less threatening.
The Bears have what it takes to defend their home field and send their NFC North rival home early. The underdog NFL odds make the Bears a great NFL prediction for Wild Card Weekend.
Why the Green Bay Packers Can Win
The Green Bay Packers already beat the Bears once this season and had a 99.4% chance of making it 2-0 before a dramatic Chicago comeback last month. While health isn’t on their side, the Packers know what it takes to beat Chicago, and will feel confident they can do so again in the playoffs.
Green Bay has a balanced passing attack as Love can get several receivers involved at a moment’s notice. Eight players have at least 200 receiving yards this season, which will keep Chicago’s defense honest if they elect to send the blitz.
Momentum is not on the Packers’ side after four straight defeats, but the return of their quarterback and the increased stakes of the playoffs will ensure they bring maximum effort into Saturday night’s showdown.
While it is hard to justify the Packers in the road favorite role, if you can find plus money NFL odds on the Packers with the live sports odds, Green Bay is a valid NFL prediction to make if they fall behind early.
How to Make Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers Picks
There is no doubt about how to make your Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers picks, and that is by visiting Sportzino. The free social sportsbook allows you to make NFL predictions for every playoff game, including the Bears vs Packers matchup.
Sportzino has the best NFL odds this postseason, including American football odds on spreads, totals, moneylines, and player props. Once you add their daily odds boosts, Sportzino is the clear choice for all your NFL needs.
